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Flemington Sat. 16th Sept. 2017. Fixed Odds prices from Sportsbet on Friday afternoon.
I Am A Star has form in some good quality races, goes well here and only knock is the top weight. Serenely Discreet never got into it last start but a winner here in the Manifold, might pay to include in multiples. Oregons Day just made it on the line at Caulfield, this is tougher but racing well and could be running on late. Jennifer Lynn had no luck at Caulfield and goes well on the bigger tracks, has won 2nd up. Sword Of Light might be better over a bit more ground but could run into a place.
Summary: Class horse is I Am A Star ($4.6), place chances to Serenely Discreet ($21), Oregons Day ($5), Jennifer Lynn ($13) and Sword Of Light ($13)
Hartnell was a confident winner first up and expected to go well again. Le Romain was a winner at this t/d in last year’s Cantala Stakes, can challenge late. Gailo Chop was back to best form when returned to the winners stall at Morphettville, forget first up run when too far back could be value for exotics. Humidor is up to a more suitable distance here, G1 winner in Australian Cup and a place chance in this. Hey Doc lead to win here first up then not far away at G1 last time, goes well here and another with place hopes.
Summary: Hartnell ($1.8) the one to beat, place chances for exotics Le Romain ($9.5), Gailo Chop ($18), Humidor ($14) and Hey Doc ($13).
Melbourne Cup winner Almandin ran very well when resuming at the Valley and fitter now. Aloft is always well placed and goes well at this track. Hans Holbein’s last win was at this trip, less than 3 lengths from the winner at the Valley last start and should go well. Yogi hasn’t finished outside of the trifecta this campaign and can place again. Crocodile Rock led and was beaten a neck last start, could he form part of a Hickmott trifecta in this?
Summary: Suspect Almandin ($5) might be a bit too good for them, include Aloft ($7.5), Hans Holbein ($7), Yogi ($8) and Crocodile Rock ($4.2) as place chances.
Amovatio didn’t appear suited at Caulfield so go on previous run here and looks like a chance. Big Memory has placed twice at this t/d and was 3rd in this race last year when resuming. Extra Zero is fresh and back in distance, can this 11yo marvel put in another good effort once again? Nozomi was a winner here when resuming and usually races well here. Gallic Chieftain is a very consistent galloper who placed when resuming over this trip in his last campaign.
Summary: Ignore the last run and Amovatio ($11) looks well suited in this. Plenty of minor chances with a bit of value on offer including Big Memory ($21), Extra Zero ($23), Nozomi ($21) and Gallic Chieftain ($14).
Hard to say if Winx is going as well as ever but she certainly hasn’t been in danger of defeat at last 2. Foxplay looked a winner until Winx caught her and should go well again. Equally Red Excitement raced well and put a decent lead on them before being overtaken by the champion mare, they will have to get past him again. Happy Clapper will be fitter and won smartly first up, include as a place chance in this.
Summary: Winx will be the short priced favourite everyone wants to see win, place chances to Happy Clapper ($13), Red Excitement ($23) and Foxplay ($16).
Have a good weekend, happy punting.